Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.232122 0.274469 0.319663 0.371209 0.428096 0.488697 0.557870
2024-10-27 0.178139 0.235670 0.301465 0.381167 0.474008 0.577710 0.701254
2024-11-03 0.140693 0.207478 0.288945 0.393007 0.519824 0.666947 0.848095
2024-11-10 0.112460 0.184750 0.278568 0.404330 0.563737 0.754640 0.996078
2024-11-17 0.084810 0.157119 0.257413 0.398616 0.584593 0.814100 1.111595
2024-11-24 0.067051 0.139552 0.246541 0.403855 0.617928 0.888734 1.246805
2024-12-01 0.050446 0.119859 0.229466 0.398069 0.635125 0.942334 1.356314
2024-12-08 0.035763 0.099396 0.207861 0.382947 0.637543 0.975561 1.439611
2024-12-15 0.028611 0.090647 0.203035 0.391205 0.671649 1.050481 1.577413
2024-12-22 0.020583 0.077472 0.188704 0.383217 0.681478 1.092331 1.672185
2024-12-29 0.017504 0.074321 0.191205 0.401350 0.729315 1.186495 1.837404
2025-01-05 0.013114 0.066221 0.183355 0.401772 0.750452 1.243875 1.954112
2025-01-12 0.009675 0.059237 0.176817 0.404195 0.775247 1.307921 2.082607
2025-01-19 0.007655 0.055562 0.176314 0.416684 0.815697 1.394836 2.243705
2025-01-26 0.006087 0.052543 0.176663 0.430462 0.858353 1.485556 2.411287
2025-02-02 0.004756 0.049553 0.176568 0.443247 0.899639 1.574942 2.578254
2025-02-09 0.003006 0.042918 0.166923 0.437616 0.910970 1.620780 2.685168
2025-02-16 0.002075 0.039260 0.163655 0.443470 0.940777 1.693925 2.831012
2025-02-23 0.001156 0.033817 0.154698 0.437471 0.950527 1.737256 2.935161
2025-03-02 0.000465 0.027407 0.141406 0.421445 0.942431 1.753256 3.000258
2025-03-09 0.000267 0.025476 0.140440 0.430313 0.976660 1.833447 3.157849
2025-03-16 0.000076 0.021340 0.131608 0.421828 0.980406 1.867018 3.248546
2025-03-23 0.000047 0.021181 0.135649 0.441190 1.033232 1.976584 3.450259